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NBA picks 11.11.2015

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02:00 E.Gordon over 16,5 1.85 Wwin -> 26 poena


 


Eric Gordon jedan je od najboljih igrača Pelicansa ove sezone. Trenutno je na 17.7 ppg, 3.1 apg i 3.0 rpg. Uz Davisa je glavni igrač ekipe, provodi dosta vremena na terenu i ima dosta ovlasti. GSW-u je zabio 14 i 9, Portlandu 20, Orlandu 21, Atlanti 22, Dallasu 21 i 17. Znači u dosadašnjem dijelu sezone, dva puta je ostao u underu i oba puta protiv Golden Statea kada je bio blowout. Pelicansi danas idu na teško gostovanje kod Atlante. Sinoć su upisali prvu pobjedu ove sezone savladavši Dallas u svojoj dvorani, ali Davis se ozljedio. Anthony Davis (right hip contusion) will not return to Tuesday's game vs. the Mavericks. X-rays were negative on Davis' hip, but the Pelicans are simply being cautious since they are winning by a comfortable margin. It's a little concerning that he needed an X-ray which suggests he is dealing with a lot of pain, but it sounds like we can consider him day-to-day moving forward. In the meantime, Ryan Anderson will benefit the most if Davis needs to miss more time. For what it's worth, coach Alvin Gentry didn't know what Davis' status is for Wednesday's game vs. the Hawks. Znači sinoć se nije vraćao jer nije trebao a za večeras je upitan. Ako on ne bude odigrao to je dodatni plus za ovaj par u jednu ruku, a u drugu baš i ne jer je lako moguć bo. Svejedno, igrao on ili ne, moram uzeti Gordona. Igra stvarno dobro, uzima dosta šuteva, minimalno 15. Neki dan je Atlanti zabio 22 poena, a tada je lud bio i Davis koji je zabio 43, te ga jednostavno moram odigrati.


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02:00 E.Gordon over 16,5 1.85 Wwin 

 

Eric Gordon jedan je od najboljih igrača Pelicansa ove sezone. Trenutno je na 17.7 ppg, 3.1 apg i 3.0 rpg. Uz Davisa je glavni igrač ekipe, provodi dosta vremena na terenu i ima dosta ovlasti. GSW-u je zabio 14 i 9, Portlandu 20, Orlandu 21, Atlanti 22, Dallasu 21 i 17. Znači u dosadašnjem dijelu sezone, dva puta je ostao u underu i oba puta protiv Golden Statea kada je bio blowout. Pelicansi danas idu na teško gostovanje kod Atlante. Sinoć su upisali prvu pobjedu ove sezone savladavši Dallas u svojoj dvorani, ali Davis se ozljedio. Anthony Davis (right hip contusion) will not return to Tuesday's game vs. the Mavericks. X-rays were negative on Davis' hip, but the Pelicans are simply being cautious since they are winning by a comfortable margin. It's a little concerning that he needed an X-ray which suggests he is dealing with a lot of pain, but it sounds like we can consider him day-to-day moving forward. In the meantime, Ryan Anderson will benefit the most if Davis needs to miss more time. For what it's worth, coach Alvin Gentry didn't know what Davis' status is for Wednesday's game vs. the Hawks. Znači sinoć se nije vraćao jer nije trebao a za večeras je upitan. Ako on ne bude odigrao to je dodatni plus za ovaj par u jednu ruku, a u drugu baš i ne jer je lako moguć bo. Svejedno, igrao on ili ne, moram uzeti Gordona. Igra stvarno dobro, uzima dosta šuteva, minimalno 15. Neki dan je Atlanti zabio 22 poena, a tada je lud bio i Davis koji je zabio 43, te ga jednostavno moram odigrati.

 

Dobar par.. ja sam uzeo Atlantu hendi 

 

Atlanta je nakon poraza u prvoj utakmici u sezoni protiv Detroita zaredjala 7 pobeda, a taj niz im je prekinula Minnesota u poslednjoj utakmici, kad su dobili Hawkse u gostima 10 razlike. Verujem da ce Atlanta dobiti Pelicanse veceras, ali bih probao hendikep . Lokali daju 8,5 i 9,5 .. favbet ima 7,5 hendi po 1,80 kvoti sto je ok. 
Iako im je otisao bitan igrac Carrol, ostatak ekipe je ostao isti.. uigrani su i zasad su dobri, dobili su 2x Hornetse, Miami u gostima, Wizardse lagano kod kuce 15 razlike.. protiv Pelicansa su slavuili u gostima 6 razlike. 
Kvalitetniji su, ali pored toga ovo je b2b tekma za Pelicanse koji su sinoc na domacem parketu dobili Dallas, a povredio se njihov glavni igrac Davis za kog se jos uvek ne zna da li ce igrati veceras pa ukoliko ne bude igrao ovo se moze probati za nesto jaci ulog. Ali i da zaigra mislim da Hawksi mogu pokriti ovo. 
 
"X-rays were negative on Davis' hip, but the Pelicans are simply being cautious since they are winning by a comfortable margin. It's a little concerning that he needed an X-ray which suggests he is dealing with a lot of pain, but it sounds like we can consider him day-to-day moving forward. In the meantime, Ryan Anderson will benefit the most if Davis needs to miss more time. For what it's worth, coach Alvin Gentry didn't know what Davis' status is for Wednesday's game vs. the Hawks."

 

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Orlando - LA Lakers - E. Fournier (16,5) - over @ 1.84 marathonbet (5/10) -> 16 poena (2-12, 2-6, 2-3)

 

Apsolutno suluda margina. Vučević nije trenirao jučer, što znači da ga ni danas neće biti, a to onda znači da će Fournier i Oladipo biti glavni akteri u ekipi Magica. Očekuju pobjedu protiv očajnih Lakersa koji imaju najgoru obranu lige. Fournier u poslijednjih šest utakmica: 19,30,29,11,17,21. U tom periodu utakmica je samo dva puta igrao manje od 40 minuta. Mislim da će danas "izbiti" ove Lakerse i pokazati kako se to radi. Ako je obranama poput Chicaga i Indiane ubacio preko ove margine onda protiv Lakersa ide preko 20. 

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Trail Blazers - Spurs: http://www.svijetkladjenja.com/analize/nba-analiza-portland-trailblazers-san-antonio-spurs/

 

D. Lillard (26,0) – over @ 1,90 Marathonbet

 

Kasnije nakon posla ću objaviti još koju prognozu. Ima svega danas!

Potpuno se slazem u vezi overa kod Fourniera, ali oko Lillarda se ne mogu sloziti. U pravu si oko proseka, no to je prvenstveno zato sto je u jednu od 4 odigrane protiv Spursa prosle sezone postigao 43 poena (jedinu kada Kawhi Leonard nije igrao) pa otud prosek od 27 poena. Inace, nisam 100% siguran, ali trebalo bi da Leonard veceras cuva Lillarda a u tom slucaju ce biti veoma veoma tesko da Lillard ubaci 27 poena pored jednog od boljih defanzivaca u ligi. 

Btw, ako je neko siguran i zna nesto vise o ovome, molim vas dodajte vase misljenje. Ako Leonard ide na Lillarda onda je ovo under i Fournier over jako izgledan double za veci ulog.

Sretno veceras, nadam se da nece biti onih povreda ko sinoc sa Durantom i Davisom :)

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Parker će krenuti na Lillardu pa će ga Leonard uzeti kasnije, pogotovo ako vidi da je Lillarda krenulo ; bar su do sada tako radili, iako.. prije je bio u ekipi Batum kojega je Leonard morao paziti, tako da me ne bi čudilo ni kada bi ga odmah preuzeo

 

 

da teško je sad procijenit ko će koga čuvat jer ipak je portland promjenio čitavu ekipu. možda i danny green krene na Lillarsu. mogao bi LMA u over danas. ipak se vraća kod svojih pa bi mogao malo potegnut

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02:00 M.Conley over 14,5 1.85 Wwin

 

Medvjedi večeras dočekuju GSW i sigurno su željni osvete za onaj brutalan poraz od neki dan. Mike Conley glavni je razigravač Memphisa, postiže 13,8 ppg + 6.0 apg i 3.4 rpg. Zabijao je Clevelendu 8, Indiani 13, Brooklynu 22, GSW-u 10, Sacramentu 14, Portlandu 7, Utahu 20 i Clippersima 16.  Golden State je u toj spomenutoj utakmici uništio Memphis sa 50 razlike, Conley je igrao 26 minuta u kojih je ubacio 10 poena. Prošle sezone je GSW-u u playoffu ubacivao 11, 13, 10, 11, 22 , a u regularnom dijelu sezone 17 i 16. Protiv Currya je u 20 utakmica na prosjeku od 14,7 poena po utakmici. Ono što je danas također jako bitno je to da Conley nema prave zamjene. Sinoć je objavljen trade u kojemu su iz Memphisa u Miami otišli Udrih i Stokes, a u Memphis su stigli Chalmers i Ennis koji bi trebali propustiti večerašnje duele jer trade nije do kraja završen.  Iako ga ne volim igrati jer nikada ne znaš hoće li proraditi on, Randolph ili Gasol, danas ga moram uzeti.

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Posto veceras nema Carrola i Rossa kod Raptorsa uzimam DeRozana over 22@1.96 (marathonbet) i Lowry over 17.5 @1.90 (marathonbet)Neigranjem ova dva igraca ostaje jos vise suteva na raspolaganju pa ce DeRozan i Lowry uzeti koju loptu vise, plus igraju protiv Philadelphije gde ce biti dosta "laksih" poena. Nadam se da izostanak Carrola i Rossa, te onaj zadnji poraz od Knicksa kod kuce nece dozvoliti blowout veceras.

Ostali predlozi:

Griffin over 25 @1.90 marathonbet

Paul George over 23 @1.90 marathonbet

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Posto veceras nema Carrola i Rossa kod Raptorsa uzimam DeRozana over 22@1.96 (marathonbet) i Lowry over 17.5 @1.90 (marathonbet). Neigranjem ova dva igraca ostaje jos vise suteva na raspolaganju pa ce DeRozan i Lowry uzeti koju loptu vise, plus igraju protiv Philadelphije gde ce biti dosta "laksih" poena. Nadam se da izostanak Carrola i Rossa, te onaj zadnji poraz od Knicksa kod kuce nece dozvoliti blowout veceras.

Ostali predlozi:

Griffin over 25 @1.90 marathonbet

Paul George over 23 @1.90 marathonbet

 

uzeo i ja Derozana. Osim šta nema Carola i Rosa još je izašla informacija da 76ersima na SG starta Cannan koji je 15 cm niži od derozana šta bi mu trebalo olakšat put do poena

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POR - SAS  2  1.35  i over 197.5 1.4 -> rezultat: 101-113

 

Spursi mogu igrati sve vrste kosarke. Portland igra brzu kosarku na velik broj poena sto spursi mogu pratiti bez problema. Malo sam ipak razmisljao o ovom overu iz razloga sto mislim da ce spursi dobiti ovo relativno lagano pa me strah BOa ipak sam se odlucio uzeti u nadi da ako se to i dogodi smatram da ce portland nastaviti tiskati a lillard sutirati u prvih 6-10 sek vremena za napad. Spursi su ekipa koja ima novih lica ali su poprilicno bolja ekipa od portlanda koji se previse oslanja na 1 covjeka. Misljenja sam da ce spursi biti u vodstvu od starta utakmice koja ide na velik broj poena.

 

DAL - LAC  2  1.34 -> rezultat: 118-108

 

Dallas igra protiv clippersa poslije jucerasnjega poraza protiv pelicansa te je ovo 2. noc b2ba sto znaci sporije noge i vise umora. Clipovi imaju poraz protiv GSWa i protiv houstona oba ugusto i potonji bez CP3a. Pise da bi trebao igrati i navodno nema problema i ovaj par mi je izgledan iz vise razloga. Cp3 igra protiv DWilla koji kao da je objesio kopocke o klin. U raspadu je vec par sezona. Osim toga nema tko cuvati blakea koji ce naravno inzistirati loptu ( pogotovo ako ga dirk bude cuvao ). Fizicki su puno jaca i dominanthija ekipa te su bolji od dallasa koji je jednostavno nedorecen. Shodno tome ocekujem pobjedu odmornijih i gladnijih klipova

 

MEM - GSW  2 1.31 -> rezultat: 84-100

 

Zar treba ista pisati?? Zadnji susret +50 za GSW. Znam da to nije realan prikaz medutim memphis ocito ima nekih problema. Smatram da ce se dici i igrati bolje ali ne vjerujem da mogu dotaknuti gsw. Zapravo jedinu manu ovom paru vidim u tome da GSW jos nije izgubio a znamo da jednom moraju...prognoziram da to nece biti danas

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Poslednji singl od mene za veceras: 

rFQoO.jpg

Mislim da je ovo value po ovoj kvoti i granici. Jordan je prosle sezone svaki put imao 14 ili vise skokova protiv Dallasa. Ove sezone je ponovo na proseku od 13.3 RPG, medjutim to je zato sto je igrao protiv puno boljih ekipa sa boljim % suta. Ako Dallas bude ponovo ciglario kao sinoc protiv NOP-a onda ne trebamo brigu brinuti za skokove kod DeAndrrea. Jedini rizik su licne greske koje mu nisu strane, ali sa druge strane to je uvek rizik.

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Evo svježih vijesti i nekih prijedloga oklada koje imaju value uz te informacije.

Kobe Bryant G Los Angeles Lakers
Bryant (back) is out for the Lakers' tilt against Orlando on Wednesday, broadcaster Mike Trudell reports.
Fantasy Analysis
Bryant missed Tuesday's game with a sore back and will now miss Wednesday's contest as well. The Lakers are likely keeping Bryant out as a precautionary measure to ensure his health in the long run this season. Metta World Peace, Nick Young, and Louis Williams should get extra minutes as they did Tuesday in Bryant's absence. Looking forward, Bryant's next chance to get back will be Friday against Dallas.

Avery Bradley G Boston Celtics
Bradley (leg) will not play Wednesday against the Pacers, A. Sherrod Blakely of Comcast SportsNet reports.
Fantasy Analysis
Bradley left Tuesday's game against Milwaukee early after injuring his leg and will miss his first full game with the injury on Wednesday. However, it doesn't appear that the injury will keep him out too long and he should be considered day-to-day. Expect Isaiah Thomas and Evan Turner to get a lot of minutes in Bradley's absence, especially if Marcus Smart (toe) is also kept out. Bradley's next opportunity to return will be Friday against Atlanta.
Pick: I. Thomas 19,5 više 1.85 Sportingbet -> 14poena (4-13 šut)


DeMarre Carroll F Toronto Raptors
Carroll (heel) has been ruled out for Wednesday's matchup with Philadelphia, Josh Lewenberg of TSN reports.
Fantasy Analysis
Carroll will miss a third straight game due to a plantar fascia injury in his right foot/heel area. Given the nature of the injury, which tends to linger, it's unclear how many games Carroll could miss. The Raps will also be without Terrence Ross on Wednesday, so they'll be rather shorthanded on the wing.
Pick: Valanciunas 14,5 više 1.85 Sportingbet -> 11 poena

Kenneth Faried F Denver Nuggets
Faried is listed as probable for Wednesday's game against the Bucks with a gluteal contusion, Harrison Wind of BSN Denver reports.
Fantasy Analysis
The ailment isn't a significant one, and with the Nuggets dealing with several more seriously injured players in their frontcourt, Faried will likely play through any soreness and see his typical amount of minutes.
Pick: Faried 13,5 više (loša obrana te pozicije kod Milwaukeeja) -> 19 poena

Darren Collison G Sacramento Kings
Collison (hamstring) will not play Wednesday, Jason Jones of the Sacramento Bee reports.
Fantasy Analysis
Collison was diagnosed with a left hamstring strain after Saturday's loss to Golden State, and he was held out of Monday's defeat at the hands of San Antonio. He'll now miss a third straight contest, meaning Rajon Rondo could again see big minutes. Rondo played all 48 minutes Monday, finishing with eight points, 12 assists and six rebounds to go with three steals and nine turnovers.
Seth Curry G Sacramento Kings
Curry (ankle) will not play Wednesday against the Pistons, James Ham of CSN reports.
Fantasy Analysis
Curry rolled his ankle late in Saturday's loss to the Warriors, and the ailment kept him out of action as the Kings fell to San Antonio on Monday. Per Ham's report, Curry was receiving treatment on the ankle Wednesday morning, but he'll miss another game. Darren Collison is also considered unlikely to play, so the Kings will be shorthanded in the backcourt.
Pick: Rondo 11,5 više 1.85 Sportingbet (opet 48 minuta za Ronda, prosječna obrana te pozicije od strane Detroita, 21.6 pts, starter Reggie Jackson koji više voli napad nego obranu)

-> 14 poena

Ryan Anderson F New Orleans Pelicans
Anderson is on tap to start at power forward Wednesday against the Hawks, John Reid of the New Orleans Times-Picayune reports.
Fantasy Analysis
The Pelicans are listing Anthony Davis as doubtful for the game after he suffered a right hip strain in Tuesday's win over the Mavericks, paving the way for Anderson to enter the lineup. Davis' injury isn't expected to be a long-term concern, but in the meantime, Anderson could see a dramatic uptick in both his usage and minutes with the Pelicans star likely unavailable. Anderson had already enjoyed increased productivity in the team's last two games, scoring 20-plus points in consecutive contests. He's a worthy lineup option in daily formats Wednesday night.
Pick: Anderson 15,5 više 1.85 WWin -> 17 poena

C.J. Watson G Orlando Magic
Watson will not play Wednesday due to soreness in his calf, Josh Robbins of the Orlando Sentinel reports.
Fantasy Analysis
Watson will not play against the Lakers Wednesday to due soreness. It's unclear how he sustained the injury but it's likely not very serious and he should be back soon. Expect Shabazz Napier and Mario Hezonja to get extra minutes off the bench to replace Watson. Looking ahead, Watson's first chance to return will be Friday against Utah.
Pick: Hezonja 5,5 više -> 7 poena u 19 minuta (trica i 4/4 slobodna bacanja)

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